Stocks fell on Friday after bleak forecasts from Intel and as investors analyzed the key inflation reading seen as an influence on the timing of interest rate cuts.
The S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose above the flat line after Thursday's win that saw the benchmark index close at another record high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.2%, or about 80 points, while the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) fell 0.1%.
Technology companies led the way lower after Intel's ( INTC ) first-quarter forecasts came in well below Wall Street's expectations, dampening the AI-fueled hopes that helped lift stocks to record highs. Intel shares were down more than 11% early, with peers AMD (AMD) and Nvidia (NVDA) taking a minor hit as well.
However, the release of the December PCE index painted a rosy inflation picture for investors. The “core” PCE rate, a measure of inflation known as the Fed’s preferred measure, fell below 3% year-on-year, the slowest growth rate since March 2021.
This number, combined with an earlier-than-expected estimate of US GDP in the fourth quarter, could reinforce the idea that the US economy is headed for a “soft landing.”
Central bankers are scheduled to meet next week for their first policy meeting this year. They are widely expected to keep interest rates steady. But the recent string of positive economic data will likely prompt them to start cutting interest rates later this year, perhaps as early as March.
Read more: What a pause on federal interest rate hikes means for bank accounts, CDs, loans and credit cards
Meanwhile, investors will be watching Friday's earnings set for more information on the health of US companies and the economy. Colgate-Palmolive ( CL ) is a standout, as is American Express ( AXP ), especially after payment card rival Visa ( V ) gave a tepid outlook for revenue growth.
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